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Title When the utility, the annoyance or the comfort are recorded with ordered categories, the interaction in the multivariate context
Author MAURIN Michel
Keywords Category scales, Conjoint measurement, Interaction, Measurement theory, Successive intervals, Utility
Topics Contingency table, Data Analysis, Measure - Measurement, Orders and preorders, Scale, Utility
Abstract This note is related to ordered categorical responses coming from experimental subjects as we generally do with the «utility» in econometry, annoyance in environmental surveys, or discomfort in ergonomy. Here we are working in the measurement theory framework. The appropriate measurement method is to use the successive intervals of Adams and Messick, which are well suited for univariate conditions when responses are given in relation to one descriptive variable; here we examine the multivariate extension, the first formal properties and the possibility to explicit the interaction between variables.
Number 188, Winter 2009
Language   French
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Title «The battle of the swimmers». Illustration of a conflict between individual preferences and the collective interest
Author COLLARD Luc, LOYER Frédéric
Keywords Equilibrium, Experimental game theory, Social contract, The prisoner's dilemna
Topics Decision Theory, Equilibrium, Game Theory, Social Psychology
Abstract How do persons behave «in the flesh» when they are instructed to choose between the unsatisfactory caution of a selfish decision, and the risky satisfaction of an altruistic decision? We ask 64 adult sportsmen to play a typical game «the prisoner's dilemna» in the swimming pool. The "battle between the swimmers" shows that, the specialists of combat sport who are the most selfish used to the systematic fighting spirit. Their expected gain is greater than that of the altruistic players who are nevertheless driven by a respectable moral sense (p<0,05 in T of Student). In vivo, Nash equilibrium [1950] is stronger than Harsanyi equilibrium [1977].
Number 188, Winter 2009
Language   French
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Title Log periodic evolution of monastic orders
Author BRISSAUD Ivan
Keywords Log periodicity law, Monastic orders, Temporal tree structure
Topics History, Periodic functions, Time Series, Trees
Abstract After the VIth century various religious and monastic orders, all of which influenced the social, economical and political life of their time, succeeded each other. These orders all attempted to promote a stricter respect of the fundamental (religious) rules. But failing to achieve this goal, each order was supplanted by a new one. The succession of jumps in this evolutionary tree shows an acceleration between Benedictine up to Mendicant orders (XIIIth century) similar to what has been observed for various phenomena (evolution of hominidae, financial market crash, earthquake.). This suggests that it might be relevant to apply a log periodic system to this chronology. The deduced values of the critical times and of the self similarity factor are Tc = 1290+/-40 and g = 2,14+/-0,30. No deceleration steps are observed after Tc. This could be explained by the predominance of the secular clergy.
Number 188, Winter 2009
Language   French
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Title Gianluca Manzo, La spirale des inégalités. Choix scolaires en France et en Italie au XXe siècle, Paris, Presses Universitaires de Paris-Sorbonne, 2009, 335 pages.
Author BARBUT Marc
Keywords None
Topics Book review, Economical and Social Inequalities, Modelling, Simulation, Sociology
Abstract Book review
Number 188, Winter 2009
Language   French
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Title Marion Selz et Florence Maillochon, Le raisonnement statistique en sociologie, Paris, Presses Universitaires de France, série Licence (Socio), 2009, 313 pages.
Author BARBUT Marc
Keywords None
Topics Book review, Pedagogy, Sociology, Statistics
Abstract Book review
Number 188, Winter 2009
Language   French
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Title Èric Brian, Comment tremble la main invisible. Incertitude et marchés, Paris, Springer, 2009, 198 pages.
Author BARBUT Marc
Keywords None
Topics Book review, Epistemology, Financial Mathematics, Probabilities, Time Series
Abstract Book review
Number 188, Winter 2009
Language   French
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